12/3/2025 ‘Countdown to December 10!!!’
‘Countdown to December 10’
A 25 basis point rate cut at The Federal Reserve December Meeting is now expected, says BofA Global Research, reports Reuters 12/1/2025, citing weak labor market conditions and recent comments from policymakers. Further, the CME FedWatch tool is now estimating an 87% likelihood of a cut as of December 2, 2025.
Factors increasing the Possibility of a rate cut:
- Cooling economy: Near-term data, including an increase in the unemployment rate is now suggesting the economy is slowing down.
- Policymaker’s Words: Some influential Fed officials have recently made comments that traders interpret as signaling an environment for a rate cut.
- Market expectations: Financial pontiffs, specifically via the CME Fed Watch tool, have increased the probability of a rate reduction, with the odds improving to about 87% as of December 2, 2025.
Will this early Christmas Gift come on December 10 wrapped with strong Christmas Retail numbers….?
Therefore,
“All’s well that ends well,” said the Bard.
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The opinions expressed in this material do not necessarily reflect the views of LPL Financial and based on the political content of this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. The economic forecasts set forth in this material may not develop as predicted. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.
Russell E. Towne, LPL Financial Advisor, is a registered representative with and Securities and Advisory Services offered through LPL Financial, a Registered Investment Advisor. Member FINRA/SIPC.
The opinions expressed in this material do not necessarily reflect the views of LPL.